Fundranker Blog—January 2011 Archive
ARCHIVES
CATEGORIES
Economy |
Fidelity Investments |
Fundranker |
Investing |
Market |
Tax Tips |
Bull Market: 22 Months and Counting
The bull market that started in March, 2009, is alive and well through December, 2010, and into January, 2011. From March 9, 2009, through January 7, 2011, the Nasdaq Composite Index (as measured by Fidelity’s Nasdaq Composite Index Fund) gained 115.853%, the S&P 500 Index (as measured by Fidelity’s Spartan 500 Index - Investor Class Fund) gained 94.974%, and Fundranker’s Top Eight Model Portfolio gained 83.297%:

To put these phenomenal gains in some perspective, as of January 7, the Nasdaq Composite Index was 3.077% below the 2007 bull market high it reached on October 31, 2007, the S&P 500 Index was 12.816% below the all-time high it reached on October 9, 2007, and Fundranker’s Top Eight Model Portfolio was 18.492% below the all-time high it reached on June 23, 2008.
Posted 1/8/11 1:15pm ET in Fundranker, Market | Permalink | Comments (0)
Fundranker Snaps Back
During May and June, 2010, for the first time in the current, 22-month bull market, Fundranker added another multiple-month downturn, and it was pretty severe. In the six months since then, Fundranker snapped back, reaching new bull market highs in both December and January.
Through June, 2008, the Fundranker system bucked the bear market that started in November, 2007, but in the frantic market downturn that occurred during the last half of 2008 and January and February of 2009, it gave back those gains and then some. Fundranker has had multiple-month downturns only 16 times since 1997, when historical tracking of the Top Eight Model Portfolio began, and it has had only one multiple-month downturn during the current bull market. Here are Fundranker’s losses during those downturns along with its returns during the next three months, six months, and 12 months:
Next 3 | Next 6 | Next 12 | |||
Period | Months | Loss | Months | Months | Months |
Feb/Mar 1997 | 2 | (10.478) | 17.993 | 37.309 | 49.620 |
Jul/Aug 1998 | 2 | (18.332) | 24.203 | 46.650 | 83.587 |
Mar/May 2000 | 3 | (14.633) | 20.863 | 7.140 | 9.806 |
Sep/Nov 2000 | 3 | (11.354) | 0.224 | 2.488 | (5.267) |
Jan/Mar 2001 | 3 | (9.739) | 3.670 | (7.140) | 12.227 |
Aug/Oct 2001 | 3 | (12.200) | 13.141 | 23.520 | (1.727) |
Jun/Jul 2002 | 2 | (15.637) | (6.615) | (4.395) | 7.475 |
Sep/Oct 2002 | 2 | (8.563) | 2.377 | (4.461) | 33.218 |
Dec/Mar 2003 | 4 | (7.317) | 15.114 | 23.719 | 45.021 |
Mar/Apr 2004 | 2 | (10.145) | 1.538 | 8.246 | 16.784 |
Jul/Aug 2004 | 2 | (3.678) | 14.696 | 24.092 | 40.048 |
Mar/Apr 2005 | 2 | (6.949) | 17.081 | 20.887 | 50.482 |
Jul/Aug 2006 | 2 | (3.256) | 4.659 | 5.865 | 16.990 |
Jul/Nov 2008 | 5 | (46.834) | (9.347) | 7.189 | 28.094 |
Jan/Feb 2009 | 2 | (16.832) | 18.245 | 34.694 | 44.814 |
May/Jun 2010 | 2 | (16.526) | 10.152 | 24.044 |
The five-month downturn that began in July, 2008, was the first multiple-month downturn Fundranker had had for two years, and it is by far the worst and longest that Fundranker has suffered. As the Great Recession, the worst recession since the Great Depression, continued, Fundranker added another two-month downturn in January and February, 2009. As it did after many past multiple-month downturns, however, Fundranker was able to garner impressive returns over the following periods.
Although past results are never an assurance of future performance, you still can benefit from knowing that Fundranker almost always has gone on to better performance in the months that follow a multiple-month downturn. Let this knowledge boost your confidence in Fundranker. Stay disciplined, and stick with the Fundranker system.
Posted 1/6/11 4:51pm ET in Fundranker | Permalink | Comments (0)